[governance] The Story Unfolds

[Chaitanya Dhareshwar]

The poll they're using for the basis for that isn't really worth looking
at.

1008 adults across 50 states, results are 'weighted' (specifically as per
what gallup thinks is OK), and they ONLY thing they're confident about is
the error range.

Sigh.

Ref:
http://www.gallup.com/poll/163043/americans-disapprove-government-surveillance-programs.aspx(from
the link given there)

*Survey Methods
*

*Results for this Gallup poll are based on telephone interviews conducted
June 10-11, 2013, with a random sample of 1,008 adults, aged 18 and older,
living in all 50 U.S. states and the District of Columbia.*

*For results based on the total sample of national adults, one can say with 95%
confidence that the margin of sampling error is ±4 percentage points.*

*Interviews are conducted with respondents on landline telephones and
cellular phones, with interviews conducted in Spanish for respondents who
are primarily Spanish-speaking. Each sample of national adults includes a
minimum quota of 50% cellphone respondents and 50% landline respondents,
with additional minimum quotas by region. Landline telephone numbers are
chosen at random among listed telephone numbers. Cellphone numbers are
selected using random digit dial methods. Landline respondents are chosen
at random within each household on the basis of which member had the most
recent birthday.*

*Samples are weighted to correct for unequal selection probability,
nonresponse, and double coverage of landline and cell users in the two
sampling frames. They are also weighted to match the national demographics
of gender, age, race, Hispanic ethnicity, education, region, population
density, and phone status (cellphone only/landline only/both, cellphone
mostly, and having an unlisted landline number). Demographic weighting
targets are based on the March 2012 Current Population Survey figures for
the aged 18 and older U.S. population. Phone status targets are based on
the July-December 2011 National Health Interview Survey. Population density
targets are based on the 2010 census. All reported margins of sampling
error include the computed design effects for weighting.*

*In addition to sampling error, question wording and practical difficulties
in conducting surveys can introduce error or bias into the findings of
public opinion polls.*

-C


On Thu, Jun 13, 2013 at 2:50 PM, michael gurstein <gurstein at gmail.com>wrote:

> http://edition.cnn.com/2013/06/12/politics/nsa-leak/?iref=obinsite
>
> New elements--
>
> *Snowden says China hacked (among 60,000 others) by NSA
>
> *``more Americans disapprove than approve of the government's surveillance
> programs, 53% to 37%``
>
> *`` 44% of Americans believe Snowden did the right thing by releasing
> details about the classified surveillance programs, while 42% said it was
> wrong``
>
> *Vivian Redding: "Trust that the rule of law will be respected is also
> essential to the stability and growth of the digital economy, including
> transatlantic business. This is of paramount importance for individuals and
> companies alike."
>
>
>
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