[governance] Kieran McCarthy on potential WCIT outcomes

[Suresh Ramasubramanian]

http://news.dot-nxt.com/2012/12/06/wcit-lowdown-its-all-about-afr

Starts off with a backgrounder and the story so far on what has happened at Dubai

Then, concludes with these absolutely delicious predictions

___________________quote___________________________

Foolish as it may be, we have some predictions for what will happen between now and the end of WCIT. Here they are:

* Nothing radical will appear in the ITRs. Instead it will be agreed that they
 will be reviewed in four or eight years' time and a range of working groups
 will be formed to work on various issues and report to the Council next year,
 take it to the ITU Plenipotentiary for initial review in 2014, and onto the
 World Telecommunication Standardization Assembly (WTSA) in 2016.
* The United States will push its hand incredibly hard (bolstered by its huge
 delegation of industry representatives and over-excited civil
 society/Internet groups who have all persuaded each other of their own
 truth). It will threaten to take a reservation once too often and will end up
 being saved by either Canada or a European country.
* The African contingent will get extra wording in about the importance of
 providing access to the developing world, but will fail in their efforts to
 get the rest of the world to put in any money for the effort.
* The Committee 5 meetings will go on late into the night and the conference
 will stretch into Saturday.
* There will be a two-hour argument about Palestine that will have nothing
 whatsoever to do with telecoms or WCIT but Middle East representatives won't
 be able to stop themselves from getting involved.
* ITU Secretary-General Hamadoun Toure will be forced to plea personally with
 the room to be reasonable, consider the larger picture, and tell delegates
 that the world is watching.
* There will be an hour recess while everything that has been argued over for
 more than a year is finally agreed to in a private meeting between the main
 actors. What results is then green-lighted by everyone even though they
 aren't quite sure what the final text looks like.

-------------- next part --------------
____________________________________________________________
You received this message as a subscriber on the list:
     governance at lists.igcaucus.org
To be removed from the list, visit:
     http://www.igcaucus.org/unsubscribing

For all other list information and functions, see:
     http://lists.igcaucus.org/info/governance
To edit your profile and to find the IGC's charter, see:
     http://www.igcaucus.org/

Translate this email: http://translate.google.com/translate_t