<html xmlns:v="urn:schemas-microsoft-com:vml" xmlns:o="urn:schemas-microsoft-com:office:office" xmlns:w="urn:schemas-microsoft-com:office:word" xmlns:m="http://schemas.microsoft.com/office/2004/12/omml" xmlns="http://www.w3.org/TR/REC-html40">
<head>
<meta http-equiv="Content-Type" content="text/html; charset=utf-8">
<meta name="Generator" content="Microsoft Word 15 (filtered medium)">
<style><!--
/* Font Definitions */
@font-face
{font-family:"Cambria Math";
panose-1:2 4 5 3 5 4 6 3 2 4;}
@font-face
{font-family:Calibri;
panose-1:2 15 5 2 2 2 4 3 2 4;}
/* Style Definitions */
p.MsoNormal, li.MsoNormal, div.MsoNormal
{margin:0in;
margin-bottom:.0001pt;
font-size:12.0pt;
font-family:"Times New Roman",serif;}
a:link, span.MsoHyperlink
{mso-style-priority:99;
color:blue;
text-decoration:underline;}
a:visited, span.MsoHyperlinkFollowed
{mso-style-priority:99;
color:purple;
text-decoration:underline;}
span.apple-converted-space
{mso-style-name:apple-converted-space;}
span.EmailStyle18
{mso-style-type:personal-reply;
font-family:"Calibri",sans-serif;
color:#1F497D;}
.MsoChpDefault
{mso-style-type:export-only;
font-size:10.0pt;}
@page WordSection1
{size:8.5in 11.0in;
margin:1.0in 1.0in 1.0in 1.0in;}
div.WordSection1
{page:WordSection1;}
--></style><!--[if gte mso 9]><xml>
<o:shapedefaults v:ext="edit" spidmax="1026" />
</xml><![endif]--><!--[if gte mso 9]><xml>
<o:shapelayout v:ext="edit">
<o:idmap v:ext="edit" data="1" />
</o:shapelayout></xml><![endif]-->
</head>
<body lang="EN-US" link="blue" vlink="purple">
<div class="WordSection1">
<p class="MsoNormal"><span style="font-size:11.0pt;font-family:"Calibri",sans-serif;color:#1F497D">John, we are in violent agreement about most of the important issues.
<o:p></o:p></span></p>
<p class="MsoNormal"><span style="font-size:11.0pt;font-family:"Calibri",sans-serif;color:#1F497D"><o:p> </o:p></span></p>
<p class="MsoNormal"><span style="font-size:11.0pt;font-family:"Calibri",sans-serif;color:#1F497D">But aside from the empirical validity of the analysis below, I am still not sure what is accomplished by telling us on this list that we should have finished
the transition plan 16 months ago. As far as I am concerned, it should have happened 10 years ago. We all know what issues held the process up (separation of IANA from ICANN and membership - for which the ICANN board and staff are responsible; and role of
governments, for which GAC and ALAC are responsible). Had we abolished the GAC as I have advocated for nearly a decade, Cruz et al would not have a leg to stand on in these debates. Without GAC it would be impossible to paint a plausible picture that we are
giving the internet away to China, Russia et al. But I don’t think it’s relevant to point that out now.<o:p></o:p></span></p>
<p class="MsoNormal"><span style="font-size:11.0pt;font-family:"Calibri",sans-serif;color:#1F497D"><o:p> </o:p></span></p>
<p class="MsoNormal"><span style="font-size:11.0pt;font-family:"Calibri",sans-serif;color:#1F497D">We’re stuck with this year, this proposal, this method and I am still not convinced that it would have been easier last year.
<o:p></o:p></span></p>
<p class="MsoNormal"><span style="font-size:11.0pt;font-family:"Calibri",sans-serif;color:#1F497D"><o:p> </o:p></span></p>
<p class="MsoNormal"><span style="font-size:11.0pt;font-family:"Calibri",sans-serif;color:#1F497D">Dr. Milton L Mueller<o:p></o:p></span></p>
<p class="MsoNormal"><span style="font-size:11.0pt;font-family:"Calibri",sans-serif;color:#1F497D">Professor,
<a href="http://spp.gatech.edu/"><span style="color:#0563C1">School of Public Policy</span></a><o:p></o:p></span></p>
<p class="MsoNormal"><span style="font-size:11.0pt;font-family:"Calibri",sans-serif;color:#1F497D">Georgia Institute of Technology<o:p></o:p></span></p>
<p class="MsoNormal"><span style="font-size:11.0pt;font-family:"Calibri",sans-serif;color:#1F497D">Internet Governance Project
<o:p></o:p></span></p>
<p class="MsoNormal"><span style="font-size:11.0pt;font-family:"Calibri",sans-serif;color:#1F497D"><a href="http://internetgovernance.org/"><span style="color:#0563C1">http://internetgovernance.org/</span></a>
<o:p></o:p></span></p>
<p class="MsoNormal"><span style="font-size:11.0pt;font-family:"Calibri",sans-serif;color:#1F497D"><o:p> </o:p></span></p>
<p class="MsoNormal"><span style="font-size:11.0pt;font-family:"Calibri",sans-serif;color:#1F497D"><o:p> </o:p></span></p>
<p class="MsoNormal"><span style="font-size:11.0pt;font-family:"Calibri",sans-serif;color:#1F497D"><o:p> </o:p></span></p>
<div style="border:none;border-left:solid blue 1.5pt;padding:0in 0in 0in 4.0pt">
<div>
<div style="border:none;border-top:solid #E1E1E1 1.0pt;padding:3.0pt 0in 0in 0in">
<p class="MsoNormal"><b><span style="font-size:11.0pt;font-family:"Calibri",sans-serif">From:</span></b><span style="font-size:11.0pt;font-family:"Calibri",sans-serif"> John Curran [mailto:jcurran@istaff.org]
<br>
<b>Sent:</b> Monday, September 19, 2016 8:47 AM<br>
<b>To:</b> Mueller, Milton L <milton@gatech.edu><br>
<b>Cc:</b> governance@lists.igcaucus.org<br>
<b>Subject:</b> Re: [governance] ISOC-NY joins coalition of groups supporting the completion of the IANA Transition - hearing is Weds<o:p></o:p></span></p>
</div>
</div>
<p class="MsoNormal"><o:p> </o:p></p>
<p class="MsoNormal">On Sep 18, 2016, at 4:26 PM, Mueller, Milton L <<a href="mailto:milton@gatech.edu">milton@gatech.edu</a>> wrote:<o:p></o:p></p>
<div>
<blockquote style="margin-top:5.0pt;margin-bottom:5.0pt">
<div>
<div>
<p class="MsoNormal">...<o:p></o:p></p>
</div>
<div style="border:none;border-left:solid blue 1.5pt;padding:0in 0in 0in 4.0pt">
<div>
<div>
<p class="MsoNormal"><span style="font-size:11.0pt;font-family:"Calibri",sans-serif;color:#1F497D">Note that the leader of the opposition, Sen. Cruz, is NOT a Presidential candidate and is NOT a supporter of Donald Trump (he refused to endorse him at the Convention).
So the idea that this is all happening because it’s an election year doesn’t hold water. Note also that last year we DID get a budget resolution that prevented the transition until this year, so the opposition was even stronger then (not clear whether we will
get one this year).<span class="apple-converted-space"> </span></span><o:p></o:p></p>
</div>
<div>
<p class="MsoNormal"><span style="font-size:11.0pt;font-family:"Calibri",sans-serif;color:#1F497D"> </span><o:p></o:p></p>
</div>
<div>
<p class="MsoNormal"><span style="font-size:11.0pt;font-family:"Calibri",sans-serif;color:#1F497D">So when Bill and John imply that had we gotten this done last year we would have avoided all these problems I don’t know what they are talking about. But then,
politics are not their strong suits.</span><o:p></o:p></p>
</div>
</div>
</div>
</div>
</blockquote>
<p class="MsoNormal"><o:p> </o:p></p>
</div>
<div>
<p class="MsoNormal">Milton -<o:p></o:p></p>
</div>
<div>
<p class="MsoNormal"><o:p> </o:p></p>
</div>
<div>
<p class="MsoNormal">While politics may not be my background, it is possible (as with many things)<o:p></o:p></p>
</div>
<div>
<p class="MsoNormal">to hire folks who are extremely experienced in this area. <o:p></o:p></p>
</div>
<div>
<p class="MsoNormal"><o:p> </o:p></p>
</div>
<div>
<p class="MsoNormal">While the US does tend to do a continuing resolution (CR) each year to continue <o:p></o:p></p>
</div>
<div>
<p class="MsoNormal">its operation, a CR done in a campaign year has some additional dynamics weigh<o:p></o:p></p>
</div>
<div>
<p class="MsoNormal">heavily in our present situation with respect to the IANA stewardship transition. <o:p></o:p></p>
</div>
<div>
<p class="MsoNormal"><o:p> </o:p></p>
</div>
<div>
<p class="MsoNormal">First, there is effectively zero chance of administration veto, since that would <o:p></o:p></p>
</div>
<div>
<p class="MsoNormal">result in a government shutdown just prior to the election (which would give a<o:p></o:p></p>
</div>
<div>
<p class="MsoNormal">huge PR win to the republican party to the effect of “Obama shuts down USG<o:p></o:p></p>
</div>
<div>
<p class="MsoNormal">so he can give Internet away illegally before election”) CR’s are generally not<o:p></o:p></p>
</div>
<div>
<p class="MsoNormal">veto’d, but the threat of doing so does impact the appropriation committee <o:p></o:p></p>
</div>
<div>
<p class="MsoNormal">negotiations (or so I am told) and is realistically not available during an election<o:p></o:p></p>
</div>
<div>
<p class="MsoNormal">year unless the matter has clear and overwhelming public support. <o:p></o:p></p>
</div>
<div>
<p class="MsoNormal"><o:p> </o:p></p>
</div>
<div>
<p class="MsoNormal">The second challenge is that an election year means there are formal campaign <o:p></o:p></p>
</div>
<div>
<p class="MsoNormal">platforms which are (nominally) set by the party, and in the case of the republican<o:p></o:p></p>
</div>
<div>
<p class="MsoNormal">party, this includes the following statements - <o:p></o:p></p>
</div>
<div>
<p class="MsoNormal"><br>
"He (the President) has unilaterally announced America’s abandonment of the <o:p></o:p></p>
</div>
<div>
<p class="MsoNormal"> international internet by surrendering U.S. control of the root zone of web names<o:p></o:p></p>
</div>
<div>
<p class="MsoNormal"> and addresses. He threw the internet to the wolves, and they — Russia, China, <o:p></o:p></p>
</div>
<div>
<p class="MsoNormal"> Iran, and others — are ready to devour it. We salute the Congressional <o:p></o:p></p>
</div>
<div>
<p class="MsoNormal"> Republicans who have legislatively impeded his plans to turn over the <o:p></o:p></p>
</div>
<div>
<p class="MsoNormal"> Information Freedom Highway to regulators and tyrants. That fight must <o:p></o:p></p>
</div>
<div>
<p class="MsoNormal"> continue, for its outcome is in doubt.”<o:p></o:p></p>
</div>
<div>
<p class="MsoNormal"><o:p> </o:p></p>
</div>
<div>
<p class="MsoNormal">This places the republican leadership in a difficult situation during the appropriation<o:p></o:p></p>
</div>
<div>
<p class="MsoNormal">committee negotiations on the CR, as in theory it is no longer just Sen Cruz's issue, <o:p></o:p></p>
</div>
<div>
<p class="MsoNormal">but is a party position (and one which will be decided _before_ the election, which <o:p></o:p></p>
</div>
<div>
<p class="MsoNormal">means as it is their job (republican leadership) to stand up for it until then. This also <o:p></o:p></p>
</div>
<div>
<p class="MsoNormal">would not be the case in a non-election year. <o:p></o:p></p>
</div>
<div>
<p class="MsoNormal"><o:p> </o:p></p>
</div>
<div>
<p class="MsoNormal">If the Internet community were ready to transition on 30 Sept 2015, it is quite likely<o:p></o:p></p>
</div>
<div>
<p class="MsoNormal">that the necessary opposition (to the provision preventing transition) could have been<o:p></o:p></p>
</div>
<div>
<p class="MsoNormal">brought to bear, but there was zero reason to do so since the community wasn’t ready.<o:p></o:p></p>
</div>
<div>
<p class="MsoNormal">By instead doing this in an election year, the politics is not simply administration versus<o:p></o:p></p>
</div>
<div>
<p class="MsoNormal">an unpopular Senator, but is very much keyed to party and public perceptions of all of<o:p></o:p></p>
</div>
<div>
<p class="MsoNormal">the participants (and potential voter impact) based on their actions on this matter.<o:p></o:p></p>
</div>
<div>
<p class="MsoNormal"><o:p> </o:p></p>
</div>
<div>
<p class="MsoNormal">For more details into present status of this year's CR negotiations, please see <o:p></o:p></p>
</div>
<div>
<p class="MsoNormal"><<a href="http://www.politico.com/story/2016/09/congress-capitol-hill-exit-228302">http://www.politico.com/story/2016/09/congress-capitol-hill-exit-228302</a>><o:p></o:p></p>
</div>
<div>
<p class="MsoNormal"><o:p> </o:p></p>
</div>
<div>
<p class="MsoNormal">Thanks,<o:p></o:p></p>
</div>
<div>
<p class="MsoNormal">/John<o:p></o:p></p>
</div>
<div>
<p class="MsoNormal"><o:p> </o:p></p>
</div>
<div>
<p class="MsoNormal">p.s. my views alone <o:p></o:p></p>
</div>
<div>
<p class="MsoNormal"><o:p> </o:p></p>
</div>
<div>
<p class="MsoNormal"><o:p> </o:p></p>
</div>
</div>
</div>
</body>
</html>